From: Martin Maechler (maechler@stat.math.ethz.ch)
Date: Tue 24 Jul 2001 - 19:32:08 EST
Message-id: <15197.16536.737512.920246@gargle.gargle.HOWL>
>>>>> "Jonathan" == Jonathan Baron <baron@cattell.psych.upenn.edu> writes:
Jonathan> The best article, by far, on this off-topic topic is:
Jonathan> Nickerson, Raymond S. Ambiguities and unstated assumptions in
Jonathan> probabilistic reasoning. Psychological Bulletin. Vol 120(3),
Jonathan> Nov 1996, 410-433.
(don't know yet the above)
The topic also runs under "The Goat Problem",
and in German, there's even a nice little book
@Book{vRaG92,
author = {Gero von Randow},
title = {Das Ziegenproblem; Denken in Wahrscheinlichkeiten},
language = {g},
publisher = {Rowolt Taschenbuch Verlag},
year = 1992
}
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