Re: [R] iraq statistics - OT

From: Peter Flom <Flom_at_ndri.org>
Date: Fri 19 May 2006 - 22:54:08 EST

>>> Peter Dalgaard <p.dalgaard@biostat.ku.dk> 5/19/2006 8:41 am >>>
wrote
<<<
They are... Figures like the ones quoted for South Africa, Colombia, New Orleans &c generally represent the existence of neighbourhoods with total social and law enforcement breakdown.

However, numbers can easily be misleading. I notice that the crude death rate is substantially lower in Iraq than in Canada! The fact that 40% of the Iraqis are less that 15 years of age may have something to do with that... (and with the denominator of the violent death rate too).
>>>

Another way this is misleading is that, even if you accept the numbers as given, they are comparing apples and oranges. As Peter points out, in the US cities cited there are some very bad neighborhoods. Tourists don't go to those neighborhoods. Most parts of those cities are much safer. In Iraq, the violence finds everyone.

Peter

Peter L. Flom, PhD
Assistant Director, Statistics and Data Analysis Core Center for Drug Use and HIV Research
National Development and Research Institutes 71 W. 23rd St
http://cduhr.ndri.org
www.peterflom.com
New York, NY 10010
(212) 845-4485 (voice)
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