[R] off-topic; iraq statistics again

From: Albyn Jones <jones_at_reed.edu>
Date: Tue 23 May 2006 - 07:51:40 EST


>>Gabor Grothendieck wrote:
>>
>>
>>>I came across this one:
>>>
>>>http://www.nysun.com/article/32787
>>>
>>>which says that the violent death rate in Iraq (which presumably
>>>includes violent deaths from the war) is lower than the violent
>>>death rate in major American cities.
>>>
>>>Does anyone have any insights from statistics on how to
>>>interpret this?

I finally had time to follow up on this. The NY Sun article compares apples and oranges, ie US cities to all of Iraq.

For data on Baghdad, see

         http://www.iraqbodycount.org/press/pr13.php Iraq Body Count Press Release 13, 9th March 2006.

 "Figures released by IBC today, updated by statistics for the year  2005 from the main Baghdad morgue, show that the total number of  civilians reported killed has risen year-on-year since May 1st 2003  (the date that President Bush announced ��major combat operations  have ended��):

According to several websites, the population of Baghdad is about 5 million.

According to R the violent death rate per 100000 based on the year 3 data is

> (12617/5000000)*100000
[1] 252.34

For comparison, see http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0004902.html, Crime Rates for Selected Large Cities, 2002: homicides per 100000 per year.

New York, N.Y.	         7.3
Los Angeles, Calif.	17.1
Chicago, Ill.		22.1
Houston, Tex.	        12.5
Philadelphia, Pa.	18.9
Phoenix, Ariz.	        12.6
San Diego, Calif.	 3.7
Dallas, Tex.	        15.8
San Antonio, Tex.	 8.4
Las Vegas, Nev.3	11.9
Detroit, Mich.	        41.8
San Jose, Calif.	 2.8
Honolulu, Hawaii	 2.0
Indianapolis, Ind.3	13.9
San Francisco, Calif.	 8.4

etc...

regards

albyn



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